| Apr 2026 | Mar 2026 | Chg. from Mar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income and outlays growth (m/m) | |||
| Real Disposable Personal Income | -0.48% | -0.16% | -0.32pp |
| Real Personal Consumption Expenditures | 0.11% | 0.32% | -0.21pp |
| Month-over-month PCE inflation | |||
| Headline | 0.40% | 0.66% | -0.26pp |
| Core | 0.24% | 0.30% | -0.06pp |
| Year-over-year PCE inflation | |||
| Headline | 3.77% | 3.53% | +0.24pp |
| Core | 3.29% | 3.24% | +0.05pp |
| Cleveland Fed forecast | Actual | Forecast error | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month-over-month PCE inflation | |||
| Headline | 0.49% | 0.40% | +0.09pp |
| Core | 0.29% | 0.24% | +0.05pp |
| Year-over-year PCE inflation | |||
| Headline | 3.83% | 3.77% | +0.06pp |
| Core | 3.31% | 3.29% | +0.02pp |
| Expenditure category | Apr 2026 | Mar 2026 | Chg. from Mar 2026 | Apr 2025 | Chg. from Apr 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Housing and utilities |
$3,930.7B (17.88%) |
$3,908.0B (17.87%) |
+0.58% (+0.01pp) |
$3,771.1B (18.18%) |
+4.23% (-0.29pp) |
| Health care |
$3,700.1B (16.83%) |
$3,693.7B (16.89%) |
+0.17% (-0.06pp) |
$3,494.0B (16.84%) |
+5.90% (-0.01pp) |
| Financial services and insurance |
$1,818.8B (8.28%) |
$1,822.7B (8.33%) |
-0.21% (-0.06pp) |
$1,652.6B (7.97%) |
+10.06% (+0.31pp) |
| Food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption |
$1,562.8B (7.11%) |
$1,553.3B (7.10%) |
+0.61% (+0.01pp) |
$1,519.5B (7.32%) |
+2.85% (-0.21pp) |
| Food services and accommodations |
$1,536.8B (6.99%) |
$1,525.4B (6.98%) |
+0.74% (+0.02pp) |
$1,488.4B (7.17%) |
+3.25% (-0.18pp) |
| Motor vehicles and parts |
$775.7B (3.53%) |
$784.9B (3.59%) |
-1.17% (-0.06pp) |
$810.1B (3.90%) |
-4.25% (-0.38pp) |
| Transportation services |
$752.9B (3.43%) |
$751.5B (3.44%) |
+0.18% (-0.01pp) |
$692.7B (3.34%) |
+8.69% (+0.09pp) |
| Recreational goods and vehicles |
$751.1B (3.42%) |
$743.0B (3.40%) |
+1.10% (+0.02pp) |
$682.7B (3.29%) |
+10.03% (+0.13pp) |
| Pharmaceutical and other medical products |
$746.9B (3.40%) |
$745.6B (3.41%) |
+0.16% (-0.01pp) |
$717.1B (3.46%) |
+4.15% (-0.06pp) |
| Clothing and footwear |
$590.4B (2.69%) |
$593.4B (2.71%) |
-0.51% (-0.03pp) |
$550.2B (2.65%) |
+7.31% (+0.03pp) |
| Gasoline and other energy goods |
$531.4B (2.42%) |
$502.6B (2.30%) |
+5.74% (+0.12pp) |
$418.4B (2.02%) |
+27.00% (+0.40pp) |
| Furnishings and durable household equipment |
$527.5B (2.40%) |
$527.3B (2.41%) |
+0.04% (-0.01pp) |
$506.9B (2.44%) |
+4.07% (-0.04pp) |
| Education services |
$368.2B (1.68%) |
$368.7B (1.69%) |
-0.14% (-0.01pp) |
$362.1B (1.75%) |
+1.69% (-0.07pp) |
| Communication |
$327.5B (1.49%) |
$326.8B (1.49%) |
+0.19% (-0.00pp) |
$317.8B (1.53%) |
+3.03% (-0.04pp) |
| All other expenditures |
$4,058.6B (18.47%) |
$4,021.2B (18.39%) |
+0.93% (+0.08pp) |
$3,762.9B (18.14%) |
+7.86% (+0.33pp) |
Note: Each month column shows the nominal dollar amount at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) for each expenditure category and its share of total expenditure in parentheses. In the gray “change” columns, the percent value indicates the change in the annualized dollar amount over the period, and the percentage-point value in parentheses indicates the change in that category’s share of total expenditure over the period.
| Date | Time | Release | Data source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 05 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Employment Update, May 2026 | Bureau of Labor Statistics |
| Jun 05 | 10:00 AM | Monthly Debt Update, June 2026 | U.S. Treasury |
| Jun 09 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Trade Update, April 2026 | Bureau of Economic Analysis |
| Jun 10 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Inflation Update, May 2026 | Bureau of Labor Statistics |
| Jun 11 | 10:00 AM | Monthly Fiscal Update, May 2026 | U.S. Treasury |
| Jun 23 | 10:00 AM | State Employment and Unemployment, May 2026 | Bureau of Labor Statistics |
| Jun 25 | 08:30 AM | Monthly Expenditures Update, May 2026 | Bureau of Economic Analysis |
| Jun 25 | 08:30 AM | Monthly GDP Update, Q1 2026 Third Estimate | Bureau of Economic Analysis |
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis; JEC Republicans calculations
“pp” = percentage points; “M/M” = month over month; “Y/Y” = year over year
Consistent with the Bureau of Economic Analysis, monthly figures are seasonally adjusted. Discrepancy in change figures is possible due to rounding.